From the start of the operation on February 24, 2022 to the present, more than three years have passed, and Russia has thrown in tens of thousands of missiles. What’s the result? The front line is still there to see the war, Ukraine has not fallen down, and Russia itself is exhausted. This matter needs to be said carefully, because it directly exposes the "universal theory of missiles" in many people's minds. Many people think that modern warfare depends on missile rain, and opponents have to raise white flags, especially those small countries always love to show missile launch vehicles during military parades, thinking that a few more can ensure safety. But what about reality? Russia has suffered a fall this time. If we think about the Taiwan Strait, we can't make the same mistake again. In the battle against Taiwan, it would be fine to smash ten thousand missiles by just relying on missiles, and it would be necessary to advance the ground.
First talk about why Russia's missile tactics are not effective. From the first day of the war, Russia threw dozens of cruise missiles from the Black Sea Fleet and land-based platforms, heading straight to the Kiev government building and the Kharkiv military warehouse. In the next few days, hypersonic missiles also came on the field, targeting Ukrainian artillery positions. At the end of March, the total number of missiles exceeded hundreds, trying to paralyze the Ukrainian command center. But the Ukrainian army was not in chaos, their air defense systems intercepted a lot, and the rest did not completely destroy the infrastructure. By the second half of 2022, Russia's missile launches exceeded 2,000 and expanded to Odessa Port to cut supply lines. The drone also got involved and flew low-speed radar at night. But Ukraine has adapted and set up mobile radar stations to alert in time. In 2023, a single attack sometimes targets hundreds of missiles and drones, targeting energy facilities. The power was interrupted, and Ukraine still gritted its teeth and held on.
In 2024, Russia will have a cumulative missile capacity of nearly 8,000, focusing on the eastern front. In the battle of Bachmut and Mariupol, missiles smashed positions, but the Ukrainian defenders moved and persisted for several weeks. The total number exceeded 11,000 by the end of the year, and the resistance was not completely paralyzed. In the first half of 2025, thousands more were thrown against the western part of Lviv. In July, there were more than 6,000 drones and missiles in a single month, setting a record. By smashing the bridge, the Ukrainian engineers can repair it quickly. In the entire conflict, Russian missiles caused damage, but they could not stop Ukraine from reorganizing and counterattacking. In the urban environment, Kiev's high-rise buildings withstood multiple shocks, and the Kharkiv underground system has become a refuge. The mountains are like Carpathians, and missiles are difficult to be accurate. Like Iwo Jima, the US military dropped 10,000 tons of bombs, and the Japanese army suffered small losses and relied on underground fortifications to carry them.
Why are missiles not that amazing? Missiles are essentially flying bombs. The warhead is small and expensive, and it is not as large as conventional bombs. With the experience of World War II, Vietnam War and Gulf War, 250,000 kilogram bombs had to be thrown to have a decisive impact. The warhead of medium and short-range missiles is 300 to 500 kilograms, and the same effect is achieved, 250,000 are obtained. Which country can build so many? The United States used a tomahawk to smash the Taliban tent in Afghanistan, and was also criticized by Congress for wasting it. Russia's inventory was used up "Iskander", and the Battle of Kiev did not crush resistance. Missile rains sprinkle the sea and can't make waves.
Turn to the Taiwan Strait, remember this lesson. The nature of the Taiwan Strait is different, but when it comes to mind, the missile ground washing tactics are questionable. Dongfeng 11, Dongfeng 15, and Changjian 10 are deployed along the southeast coast, with large inventory and loyal within range. The warhead of the Longjian 10 is 450 kilograms, 1500 kilometers, with sea flying, strong penetration defense and high accuracy. But the missile force is strong and cannot be used to clean the floor. There are 9 short-range missile brigades and 3 cruise missile brigades in the southeast direction, 430 fires in one round and 200 tons of ammunition are dropped. Evenly distributed, the battlefield has no effect. Taiwan's air defense is not weak, with a density that is higher than that of Israel, and it is three-dimensional in sea, land and air. Land-based vehicle-based radar, early warning aircraft, Patriot, Sky Bow, and Sky Soldier Systems. Our missiles have to break the defense first, and we must first paralyze the radar air defense.
What's more troublesome is the Taiwan terrain. Mountainous, complex central mountains. After 1949, Chiang Kai-shek built defenses and dug mountain fortifications. Chiang Ching-kuo continued to build, and the mountains were almost hollowed out. Naturally, the mountain is strong, and the firepower of all humans is not even enough to throw it on. On 22 square kilometers of Iwo Jima, the US military dropped 10,000 tons of bombs, and the Japanese army lost less than 100 people. The senior Taiwanese army retreated to Yuanshan and Hengshan command posts. Air Force F16 flew out of the mountain.
The three navy, army and air forces underground, relying on concrete to defend the mountain. Thousands of missiles cannot do anything to hide the system of hundreds of thousands of troops. The missile rain cannot hit the mountain, and the big cities cannot hit it. Russia-Ukraine example, Kyiv Kharkov concrete building, limited missile damage. Taiwan has a dense population, a seismic zone and high building specifications. It was considered a bunker during World War II. It will collapse only if the load-bearing wall hits, and the ruins are easy to defend. Stalingrad and Grozny, the ruins are easier to guard than the entire building. Ten thousand missiles and hundreds of thousands of missiles cannot make the Taiwan army surrender. Missiles are not decisive weapons.
Many people fantasize about contactless combat, and missiles hit the Taiwan army, and the United States and Japan retreated in a difficult situation. But Russia and Ukraine are realistic, and missiles are not expected to be effective. At the beginning of the war, Russia smashed thousands of them, and Kharkov stabilized. The West believes that "Iskander" is paralyzed at NATO airports, but the Russian army has exhausted all its inventory and resistance is still there. A microcosm of the failure of missile tactics. Up to now, more than 10,000 missiles have not changed drastically. Similar remarks in the Taiwan Strait, covering thousands of medium and short-range missiles to blow the enemy up. Judging from the results of Russia and Ukraine, thousands of them are not good, and tens of thousands of them cannot surrender quickly.
In the information age, the naval air force missile determinism is popular. The land battle suffered heavy casualties, which was difficult for the country to accept after World War II. In the Battle of Taiwan Strait, netizens are optimistic. Some people say that the Identity Card will be issued in the morning and the afternoon. After Russia and Ukraine, some people said they were not ruthless and attacked the power plant and water plant to force the people to oppose the authorities. When Russia attacked Ukrainian civil buildings, some people cheered that they should have called this long ago. Can it be produced? The two armies were still fighting in Kharkov Kharkov-win Man Mariupalbakhmut. Ukraine did not fight against the anti-war indiscriminately, and the hatred became deeper. Political scientist Robert Pep said that in the 75 years of the war, air strikes did not arouse national opposition to the government. In the past 30 strategic bombings, air forces have not forced the masses to take to the streets. The modern industrial economy is not fragile and large-scale air strikes are difficult to achieve. Strategic bombing is difficult to weaken the army.
Contactless auxiliary effect. The missile and bomb rain cannot shake the regime. In 1999, NATO air strikes against Yugoslavia for 78 days, more than 500 civilians were killed or killed. There is no evidence that Milosevic raised the white flag due to people's pressure. The Federal Army suffered minor casualties. NATO has 3,000 sorties and 14,000 weapons, destroying 52 heavy equipment. Each requires 60 aircraft and 269 weapons. Milosevic surrendered, and Clinton passed the message through Russia: NATO will send ground troops. The ground threat caused the Confederate Yugoslaughter. The US military blockade of Iraq for 11 years, and the Saddam regime remained unchanged. In the 2003 Iraq War, the US military sent ground troops and the regime collapsed.
The war in the Taiwan Strait is necessary to fight for sea and air supremacy, but it is decided to be the army. Blockade missile attacks weakened. "Stay on the island but not on people" attacks civilian facilities, which is useless and harmful. Only the army went to the island and the Taiwan army surrendered. After seizing the sea and air superiority, we rushed to the US to cross the sea, seized the beach, and cleared the remains of the city mountains. With Taiwan's terrain, it is difficult to fight on the beach, streets and mountains. Taiwan has a high service rate and has conquered hundreds of thousands during wartime. Our army has a lot of army. Su Yu was preparing to attack Taiwan, with an army of 600,000. Now it's no less than 600,000. Landing forces, 3 075 amphibious assault ships, 8 071 dock landing ships, 51 tank landing ships, and 51 air cushion landing crafts, transporting 20,000 at a time. Emergency fishing boats and merchant ships. The male lion fights the rabbit with all his strength. It is best not to fight and attack the city if you are forced to a desperate situation. The Taiwan Strait Battle may have a huge casualty.
The role of missiles cannot be ignored. Although it is not decided, it is strongly weakened. Accurate maneuverability, suitable for attacking leaders, high-value targets, construction, and weapon nodes. Ukrainian storm shadow kills Russian generals and hits the Moscow cruiser. Russia's Iskander made Ukrainian Himas patriots suffer. Our army's missiles are good at steel blades, specializing in attacking the leaders of the Taiwan authorities, warships, airports, warehouses and bridges. Don't be an ordinary shell. In addition, we deterred the US and Japanese reinforcements. Medium- and long-range missiles strike the US-Japan aircraft carrier shield. Emergency strikes the US port and airport in Japan. Strengthen long-distance rockets and precisely guided bombs. Thunderstone-6. Feiteng laser satellite guidance and Thunder laser guidance, large quantities and fullness, and use the power of the quantity to change the situation.
Don't underestimate the difficulty of the Taiwan Strait, be prepared for excess casualties, and don't fantasize about non-contact inhumane means to make the Taiwan military, the United States and Japan surrender. Give up your fantasy, prepare for battle, burn your boats, and eliminate the enemy. Reduce casualties between the enemy and us, avoid casualties among civilians, and complete maintenance of unity.
