The Taiwan Strait issue has been in full swing over the years, and everyone is staring at whether the mainland will take action. To put it bluntly, this matter involves the overall situation of national unity and is not a joke.
The People's Liberation Army has its strength, advanced equipment and sufficient training, but why haven't there been any big moves yet?
Let's talk about the reasons why you don't do it, it's quite deep. From the perspective of the international environment, China is now a major global economy, and stability is the top priority. Russia and Ukraine are fighting in full swing, the Middle East is in chaos, and the United States is full of fire.
If China crosses the strait, it will be guaranteed to be labeled as an invader by Western media. Think about it, as soon as the public opinion war broke out, all kinds of sanctions and tariffs were smashed like raindrops.
Economicly, China's exports rely on the international market. Once the supply chain is broken, factories will be shut down and the unemployment rate will rise. Western countries will take the opportunity to win over allies and strengthen the encirclement, and China's international image that has finally accumulated will have to be discounted.
In Russia, China can be more stable and serve as an invisible backing for it without having to end directly. If the Taiwan Strait starts to fire, the focus will be on China, and the United States will reap profits, and Russia will be under greater pressure.
As a developing country, China's economic take-off depends on a peaceful environment. Once it is involved in conflict, investment outflows, stock market fluctuations, ordinary people will have a hard time.
Countries around the world originally envied China's development speed, but now they all changed their minds and felt that China had become a troublemaker. Countries may embrace the United States more, and the United States' hegemony will stabilize. China's spiritual influence around the world is weaker.
To go further, the cost of using force is extremely high. The Taiwan Strait is more than 100 kilometers wide, with a complex terrain, making landing difficult. There are few examples of successful cross-sea combat in history. Hitler suffered a fall in the English Channel that year.
The simulation combat push results show that both sides suffered heavy losses in the first few weeks. The People's Liberation Army must prepare a large amount of ammunition and logistics supply must keep up. The missile inventory is sufficient and the production chain must be turned, but the international blockade will be blocked when the wartime international standards are blocked.
Taiwan is a chip manufacturer, the heart of the global supply chain, and the economic losses of trillions of dollars are lost in the war, and China itself has to suffer. The US military may intervene, and once the aircraft carrier group relies on it, the battle situation will be complicated.
Although China has a lot of military expenditure, the US military budget of 895.2 billion is there. Following up on increasing military expenditure, it will squeeze people's livelihood expenditure. What the people care about is housing prices, employment, and medical care, and they do not think about fighting every day. When using force, you have to consider the hearts of the people on the island. After forcibly unifying, the governance costs will be high, and the resistance may exist for a long time and cannot be defeated by tug-of-war.
The benefits of not doing things are actually quite a lot. Taiwan is there, and most countries in the international community recognize the facts of China's territory. In addition to a few small island countries, more than 180 countries support the one-China principle.
The United States said something, but in fact it dared not recognize Taiwan's independence explicitly. If the People's Liberation Army maintains restraint, it will make the Taiwan independence forces anxious and yell for a long time without anyone paying attention. They want to make internationalization issues, but the world doesn't buy it.
The People's Liberation Army shocked through normalized cruises and military exercises, fighter jets circled the islands, and ships cruised. The Taiwan side could not understand the details and was under great psychological pressure. A spokesperson for the Ministry of National Defense often says that soldiers are inconsistent and water is inconsistent. This sounds simple, but it actually makes the opponent unable to sleep.
People's Liberation Army's strength is increasing, navy expansion, aircraft carrier launch, and new air force aircraft are entering the sky. These are all the decisive needles. If you keep silent, you will be able to play with the intimidation. Taiwan independence elements are jumping around there and the international community is watching the fun, but it cannot change the reality that Taiwan is part of China.
After time, they themselves exposed themselves, there are many internal conflicts, the economy depends on the mainland, and more and more young people come to the mainland for employment. The economic integration between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait is deep, and trade volume is rising year by year. The use of force has actually destroyed these foundations.
The disadvantages of using force are more than these. In terms of international relations, China is now promoting the Belt and Road Initiative and expanding its circle of friends. If the fire starts, countries along the route have to think carefully. If the cooperation projects are ruined, who will bear the losses?
The United States will take the opportunity to disrupt the situation in the South China Sea and the East China Sea, and Japan and Australia will follow suit, and the situation in the Asia-Pacific will be even more chaotic. As a permanent member of the Security Council, China's image must be maintained.
The advantage of maintaining the status quo is flexibility. The PLA has a fast pace of modernization, the Rocket Force has many missiles, the navy has a full range of ships, and the air force has strong fighter jets. Gao Zhizhong estimated that the PLA's missile inventory on Taiwan was more than a thousand, but in fact it was far more than that.
In the military exercise, the multi-system joint combat was trained well, and the echelon strike model was efficient. The first wave suppresses the air force base, the second wave clears the residual target, and the resource consumption is controllable. Taiwan think tanks say that the PLA does not have enough ammunition, but that is underestimating China's productivity.
The industrial chain is complete and the independent manufacturing capacity is strong. Taiwan's GDP-based military expenditure ratio is high, but the total amount is small, so it is still slow to purchase American weapons. There are huge population gaps, strategic depth differences, and it is difficult to fight in isolated islands. If the People's Liberation Army does not move, it will make Taiwan tired of dealing with it and its military spending is tight.
Cross-strait exchanges continue, with many youth projects, deep economic cooperation, and separatist forces gradually weakening. The Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council emphasized the general trend of unification, and the press conference responded to problems stably.
The risks of using force also include internal stability. China has a large population and a long border, and its army must be scattered and guarded. All 2 million troops cannot be invested in the Taiwan Strait, and people must be kept against mobs and borders. During the war, Taiwan deployed assault teams and weapons were transported into the mainland, and chaos became greater.
During the epidemic in Wuhan, logistics problems were exposed, and companies were mobilized to have shortage of materials, making it difficult for provinces to coordinate. The parallel system of the theater and the military region is poorly communicated, and joint logistics relies on private enterprises. Once the wartime blockade comes, the enterprises will be shut down.
The wartime finance must be launched, the military industry committee must be established, and the manpower will be allocated, but the cadre team is not ready. It is difficult to win quickly, and it is dragged into a war of attrition, and the losses are huge. Taiwan reports that the PLA is insufficient in landing vehicles and weak logistics, but the PLA is actually making up for shortcomings, expanding its bases, and updating its equipment.
The wisdom of not doing anything is waiting for the opportunity. Taiwan independence did not explicitly declare independence, so they were left alone. If you cross the line and then strike thunder, you will be famous for your international masters. Zhu Fenglian said that this generation of people wants to see Taiwan liberate, and there is no rush to be a moment.
The Ministry of National Defense emphasized flexible response in March 2025, and Wu Qian's words made Taiwan feel cold. The People's Liberation Army is famous outside and has a strong sense of mystery, and the outside world cannot guess it thoroughly. Maintain restraint, China's influence has increased, Russia has backed up, and the West is tired of dealing with the multi-line.
As a pure land, China attracts investment and has a prosperous economy. People around the world yearn for the Chinese model, and once they use force, their reputation will be lost. There are many internal problems in the United States and they are unable to intervene in the Taiwan Strait. The process of cross-strait reunification is stable, exchanges are increasing, and integration is deepening.
Conclusion:
Summary: There are fewer advantages and disadvantages in using force. International pressure, economic losses, and internal risks are high. Don’t take action, strong shock, deep integration, timing, etc.
People's Liberation Army is still moving at this moment, with sufficient strategic wisdom. Unification is the general trend and cannot be rushed. The people hope for peace, and development is the hard truth. The Taiwan Strait is stable and everyone can live a good life.
