Is the Russian army weaker today than three years ago? Ukrainian netizen Roland Battsko thinks this: This is no longer the same army.
Comparing the military power that Russia invests in 2022 with the power they have now is like comparing a basketball team with a football team, which is not the same thing at all.
In the early stages of the conflict, Russia had absolute material advantages. If the planning was more thorough and the command was more effective, their army might have occupied at least half of Ukraine's territory.
In the summer of 2022, the fierce ground war surrounding North Donetsk and Lisichangsk showed the extremely destructive power of this army, with about 50,000 shells pouring on the Ukrainian defenders' positions every day.
By the end of 2022, the counterattack launched by Ukraine was successful. But like in the early stages of the war, the main reasons for the Russian army's failure were poor command and poor logistics.
By June 2023, the Russian army may reach its peak of strength. They have adapted to the battlefield environment, and the most serious recharge and undertraining problems have been improved. During Ukraine's counterattack, Russian soldiers successfully defended their positions and performed quite stably.
After this is the battle between Bachmut and Avjeevka - although the Russian army won, the price paid was extremely high.
Since then, the Russian army has been unable to maintain a sustainable combat state. Their personnel and materials lost far exceed their own replenishment capabilities. Russia's weapons inventory has been exhausted, and now it relies more on outdated equipment, and even uses civilian vehicles.
The only area where the Russian army has made significant progress is drone combat. In this regard, their abilities are at least comparable to their opponents, and may even be stronger.
Roland said that the Russian army seen in 2025 is completely the opposite of the Russian army in 2022: their command, tactics and logistics have been improved, but the materials cannot keep up.
Now Russian soldiers have to rely on old civilian vehicles, motorcycles, and even horses to reach the front line. Obviously, this greatly limits their combat capabilities.
Roland believes it is unlikely that he will see the Russian army launch a large-scale attack again, and that era is over. The longer the war drags on, the slower the Russian army will advance and the more remaining resources will be consumed.
In short: except for a few areas that are still important (drone combat, combat theory, command), the Russian army today is weaker than its peak from the end of 2022 to the beginning of 2023.
He expects this trend to continue. But at the same time, we must also remember that the Ukrainian armed forces are also facing similar problems - this powerful force has not yet strengthened its strength.
This means that the possibility of "solving" problems and ending war through military means such as large-scale counterattacks is getting smaller and smaller.
Another netizen Christian Niblom said: "I'm sorry, most of the solidarity between countries around the world to Ukraine is only symbolic. We (including governments of NATO and NATO allies) should have provided more supplies, ammunition and offensive weapons."
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