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Li Zhilin: 510300 pressing and compacting 3,800 points, the new "five kings" led to a rebound in technology stocks

2025-09-10 13:07:16 HKT

510300 pressing and compacting 3,800 points, the new "Five Heavenly Kings" led to a rebound in technology stocks

Today's news:

[The three major U.S. stock indexes hit new closing highs]The three major U.S. stock indexes closed up collectively overnight, with the Dow Jones Index rising 0.43%, the S&P 500 Index rising 0.27%, and the Nasdaq Comprehensive Index rising 0.37%, and all three major indexes hit new closing highs. Most of the large technology stocks rose, with Google rising more than 2%, Meta, Netflix, Nvidia and Amazon rising more than 1%, and Apple, which just released the iPhone 17 series phones, closed down 1.48%. Most of the popular Chinese stocks rose, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closing up 1.48%, soaring 20% ​​this year, and China's assets deepening "value revaluation".

[The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 93%]According to CME's "Feder Observation": the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut by 25 basis points in September is 93%, and the probability of a 50 basis points cut is 7%. The probability of the Fed's cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points in October is 21.4%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 73.2%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 75 basis points is 5.4%.

[National Bureau of Statistics: CPI fell 0.4% year-on-year in August, and PPI fell 2.9% year-on-year][Chip stocks fluctuate and rebounded Dagang shares to the daily limit]Chip stocks rebounded during the trading session, Dagang shares hit the daily limit, Xinhenghui, Haiguang Information, and Lanqi Technology rose by more than 5%, and Dongwei Semiconductor, Demingli, Xindao Technology, Cambrian, Unigroup Guowei, Tongfu Microelectronics, etc. followed suit.

[The robot concept is active and the first to open 6 consecutive boards]Robot concept performed actively at the opening, with the first shares opening for 6 consecutive days, Yongmaotai and Baowu Magnesium Industry hit the daily limit, Wolong New Energy and UC followed suit. On the news front, Kaiyuan Securities Research Report pointed out that there have been constant news about Tesla robots recently. After the Gen3 model is finalized, Tesla will conduct large-scale manufacturing tests, with an expected shipment volume of 30,000 to 50,000 units; combined with the combination of domestic high-standard industrial policies, it is expected. The shipments of domestic robots are expected to usher in 10 times in 2026.

[Solid-state battery concept stocks fluctuate and adjust Cosen Technology hit the limit down]Solid-state battery concept stocks fluctuated and adjusted, Cosen Technology hit the limit down, Ningxin New Materials fell by more than 8%, Titan Co., Ltd., Hunan Yuneng, Tianqi Lithium Industry, and Jinxiao many stocks fell by more than 5%.

[The financing balance of the two cities increased by 5.918 billion yuan]As of September 9, the Shanghai Stock Exchange's financing balance was 1171.039 billion yuan, an increase of 4.78 billion yuan from the previous trading day; the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's financing balance was 1124.758 billion yuan, an increase of 1.138 billion yuan from the previous trading day; the two markets had a total of 2295.797 billion yuan, an increase of 5.918 billion yuan from the previous trading day.

The market opened lower by 1:3806 points this morning, rose by 3824 points, bottomed by 3794 points, and closed by 3813 points before afternoon. The Shanghai Stock Exchange 50, Shanghai Stock Exchange 300, Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, Shenzhen Component Index, ChiNext, Science and Technology Innovation Board, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 rose 0.44%, 0.22%, 0.17%, 0.24%, 1.14%, 1.16%, 0.01%, and 0.06%. The ratio of individual stocks to rise and fall is 2430:2819, and the ratio of rise and fall is 48:3. The half-day turnover of the two markets was 1.29 trillion yuan, a decrease of 30.8 billion yuan from the previous trading day.

In addition to the positive effects of the September 3 commemoration event and the theme stocks represented by military industry stocks plunged, the national team began to calm the market's impulse to continue to rise around 3,800 points. When bank stocks fell for two consecutive weeks ineffective, the market was mainly regulated through the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 ETF represented by 510300. Force the market to fluctuate horizontally and wide-rangingly, wash the market, turn hands fully, and reduce risks.

For example, on September 4, the 510300ETF was suppressed to a minimum of 4.416 yuan, on September 5, to 4.442 yuan, and yesterday on September 9, it was suppressed to a minimum of 4.502 yuan. After opening this morning, it rose to 4.552 yuan and quickly suppressed to 4.507 yuan, causing the market to fall below the 3800-point integer mark several times. After each suppression, the market rebounded due to the rapid rebound of the 510300 ETF. The correlation between the two was almost synchronized during the session, and the 510300 ETF became a veritable leader in market trends.

In a slow bull market with horizontal fluctuations, the most important thing is to choose individual stocks, that is, to capture individual stock opportunities that are far better than the market increase in accordance with the three elements of policy, subject matter, performance growth, and the principle of high and low switching. Even investors with stable and low risk appetite can find opportunities to intervene during the wide fluctuation of the 510300ETF, and often get one year of bank interest in one day. There are many market opportunities.

Follow in the afternoon: Can the market close below the 5-day line above 3805 points? Can the upper part close above the 10-day line of 3827? Pay attention to whether the 510300 ETF can continue to rebound? 2430: Can the situation of 2819's stocks fall more and rise less and less improve? Can the trading volume be more than 2 trillion?

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