Good evening everyone, today is a good day on September 10th. Tonight, there are 3 positive and 2 negative for the A-share securities market. Among them, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other six departments jointly attacked. Today, the A-share stock volume shrank by 2 trillion and rose slightly by 4 points. How to go tomorrow? Please read it carefully and patiently, and give everyone a clear answer. I believe you will know it!
First: Today's A-shares were a little overwhelmed, with a shrinking volume of 2 trillion yuan throughout the day and fluctuating slightly up 4 points, with a high of 3827 and a low of 3794. A small red k-line with a narrow range of fluctuations with an upper and lower shadow line closed at 3812, but there were only 2442 companies in the two markets, while there were 2769 companies in the decline. Today's market actually did not have much passion, as if it was very perfunctory, and barely closed at a small red line, which seemed to give people a feeling of being meaningful. Today's A-shares rose in the red market!
Second: In terms of major indexes, as of the close of A-shares today on Wednesday, the ChiNext Index rose 1.27%, the Science and Technology Innovation 50 rose 1.09%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.38%, the Shanghai Component Index rose 0.37%, the Shanghai Component Index rose 0.21%, the Shanghai Component Index rose 0.13%, the CSI 1000 slightly red 0.06%, and the Double Innovation Index rose more than 1%, because the Double Innovation Index has fallen from the negative line in the past two days, and the Double Innovation Index rose by 20 cm, so a rebound of 1% is not strong.
Third: Today, it can lead the rebound of the Double Innovation Index to rise by more than 1%, which is nothing more than the components, consumer electronics, communication equipment, semiconductors and other sectors that have fallen at high levels for two consecutive days. Today, the rebound of Big Technology has increased by more than 1.3% to 5.47%. Of course, the rebound of Big Technology is mainly due to the continued strong rise of popular Chinese stocks last night. US stocks Google, NVIDIA, Oracle, etc. have also rebounded continuously. Therefore, today the large technology sector of A-shares also achieved a medium-positive rebound, but today it showed a shrinking rebound, which always leaves people uneasy!
Fourth: At the same time, today's A-shares can have a relatively strong rebound market. Sports rose by more than 3%, film and television theaters rose by nearly 3%, short drama games rose by more than 2.5%, tourism rose by more than 2.4%, telecommunications services rose by more than 2%, and general retail rose by nearly 2%. These sectors have experienced a relatively strong rebound and upward market with relatively large volumes, and these sectors are at the bottom and have recently experienced a relatively continuous rebound and upward market. These sectors are actually going out of the upward market, so it is still a bit relieved for investors who hold related sectors!
Fifth: But today the sector has a seesaw effect again, and the large technology sectors rebounded across the board, and the sectors that have rebounded continuously recently, there has been a volatile consolidation market today. Among them, batteries fell more than 1.2%, photovoltaic equipment fell more than 2%, and precious metals fell more than 1%. These sectors are sectors that have continued to rise recently. Today, it was these sectors that fluctuated and rested. Although the sector index adjusted, some still showed up in a strong rebound. This is the rotational differentiation and seesaw of A-shares, which also made investors holding related sectors feel moved!
Sixth: Judging from the news tonight, the news tonight in the A-share securities market is 3 major positives and 2 negatives. Among them, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other six departments have taken heavy blows, which may affect the subsequent A-share market trend. Here I share some of my inner views with all investors. At the same time, we must be clear in order to be calm:
1. News 1: The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other six departments jointly deployed a special rectification campaign for the automotive industry's network chaos.
This special rectification campaign will focus on rectifying network chaos such as illegal profit-making, malicious slander and attacks, improve the quality and efficiency of handling network chaos in automobile companies, urge enterprises to standardize marketing and publicity behavior, create a good public opinion environment, and escort the high-quality development of the automobile industry.
The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other six departments jointly took action to protect the high-quality development of the automobile industry, protect the legitimate rights and interests of automobile industry enterprises, and be conducive to the positive development of the automobile industry chain.
Tonight's news is favorable, and the automobile and vehicle sector is particularly favorable to new energy vehicles. Some of the relevant sectors are still at the bottom, so it is conducive to the stabilization and rebound of the future market, and is expected to emerge from the oversold rebound in September.
2. News 2: The State Administration for Financial Regulation, the People's Bank of China, and the China Securities Regulatory Commission will jointly carry out the Financial Education Propaganda Week activities.
The State Administration for Financial Regulation, the People's Bank of China, and the China Securities Regulatory Commission will jointly carry out the Financial Education Promotion Week from September 15 to 21, 2025.
The next week will be held for the Financial Education Promotion Week, which is another activity week for investor education. According to past experience, A-shares may fluctuate and adjust the market next week, and the market may build a double bottom pattern to better achieve a stable rebound.
3. News 3: The US PPI grew by 2.6% year-on-year in August, and was expected to grow by 3.3%.
Tonight's data basically set the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is conducive to the rebound of the stock market. Affected by this, just now, the three major U.S. stock index futures indexes continued to rise slightly, and the offshore RMB continued to counterattack and recovered 62 basis points, and gold continued to rise slightly by 0.3%.
The expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut has a positive impact on global stock markets, and it also has a positive impact on gold and non-US currencies. In particular, gold has continued to emerge from the bull market and rise recently, so the bull market of gold has not ended, and some precious metal sectors have not ended.
4. News 4: Baiyin Nonferrous Metals: A case was filed by the China Securities Regulatory Commission for suspected illegal and irregular information disclosure.
Silver Nonferrous Metals has recently hit a new rebound high and maintained a high fluctuation. Sudden negative news comes. It is likely that the market will suddenly fall sharply tomorrow and adjust the market, which may also have a pressure impact on the industrial metal sector.
5. News 5: 11 consecutive boards Tianpu shares: abnormal stock trading fluctuations, suspension of trading for verification.
The company's stock price hit the daily limit for nine consecutive trading days from August 22, 2025 to September 3, 2025, during which it encountered abnormal fluctuations in stock trading four times and severe abnormal fluctuations in stock trading two times.
Announced the verification results and resumed trading on September 9, 2025. After the resumption of trading, the daily limit was hit for two consecutive trading days from September 9, 2025 to September 10, 2025. once again encountered abnormal fluctuations in stock trading. In view of the huge trading risks accumulated during the continuous daily limit, the trading was suspended again.
Tianpu Co., Ltd. has hit the daily limit continuously due to changes in substantial control, tender offer and other consecutive increases. Among them, the top ten shareholders of circulating shares include CITIC Securities Asset Management (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. - customer funds and foreign banks. It seems that smart funds are still ambushing in advance.
After a continuous surge, the trading was suspended and the daily limit continued to rise. Now, the trading suspension was announced for the second time. The daily limit was basically smart funds. They made a lot of money and did not open the daily limit at all. Whether the verification or not has much to do with many retail investors, but the trading suspension has been suspended. Let's see if the trading will continue to rise again in the future.
According to the above five major news, there are three positive and two negative news. Among them, the key Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other six departments have taken heavy blows, which of course is good for industry sectors such as automobiles, vehicles and new energy vehicles. At the same time, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is beneficial to global stock markets and gold, and the bull market for gold has not ended.
Seventh: At the same time, we know that the earth is round, and global stock markets also have a certain resonance effect. Especially today's rise in A-shares is actually driven by external stock markets. So from the perspective of external markets, the three major U.S. stock indexes continued to rebound slightly tonight. As of now, the S&P 500 rose slightly by 0.6% to a record high, the Nasdaq rose slightly by 0.45% to a record high, and the Dow Jones Index fell slightly by 0.14% and is still in a bull market upward trend.
Original rose more than 39%, Broadcom rose more than 9%, and Nvidia rose more than 4%. The sharp rise in these sectors is also the reason why some technology stocks in A-shares rebounded and rose today, but Apple fell more than 2.5% and plunged for four consecutive consecutive declines, which has a negative impact on the Apple concept. Promoted its co-founder Larry Ellison's wealth soared by $98 billion in one day, and its total wealth rose to around $393 billion, setting a record for the largest single-day wealth growth in history, challenging Musk's throne of the world's richest man.
At the same time, the Chinese stock index suddenly opened low and fell by nearly 1% tonight, among which the popular Chinese stocks NetEase rose by more than 1% and hit a new rebound high, Baidu fell by 07%, Kingsoft Cloud fell by nearly 1%, Alibaba fell by 1.6%, Tiger Securities fell by 2.26%, JD.com fell by 1.4%, Peng Auto fell by 2.8%, Wanguo Data fell by 1.7%, and FTSE China's A50 Futures Index is currently down by 0.24%. These will have a negative impact on tomorrow's Hong Kong stocks and A-shares. The technology stocks in the US stock market continue to go crazy tonight, but the Chinese stocks listed in the US no longer follow tonight, so it will have a pressure impact on A-shares tomorrow.
Eighth: Based on so many aspects, we have also interpreted it one by one. The question is, A-shares have shrunk by 2 trillion today and slightly rose by 4 points, and the Double Innovation Index has risen by more than 1%. What will happen tomorrow?
First of all, I give a clear view. A-shares will likely fluctuate and fall on Thursday tomorrow. Pay attention to whether 3800 points can be held. Once 3800 points fall below the 20-day moving average, the market will continue to fall. There are the following analysis logics and reasons as follows. I hope it can help everyone:
The first reason is that although the Shanghai Composite Index rose slightly by 4 points today, the trading volume has significantly reduced and is significantly blocked by the pressure of the 10-day moving average. At the same time, the high point is gradually lowering, and the two hours in the 120-minute level have already risen and fallen. The last hour is obviously rising and falling and adjustment barely closing at 3812, so there is a high probability that it will adjust inertia.
The second reason, we look at the largest weight index, the Shanghai Composite 50 Index, today's shrinking volume rebounded 0.37%, but it was obviously blocked by the pressure of the 10-day moving average. The closing did not regain the opening of the large volume of the negative line last Thursday. The Macd dead cross tomorrow green column will magnify on the fourth day. The 120-minute level has formed a surge and a decline, and the 60-minute level is also a surge and a decline in the negative line. Moreover, each cycle basically forms a three-decline method. Once the negative line closes tomorrow, it will form a bearish pattern of three-decline method, so it is easy to fluctuate and fall to adjust.
The third reason, we look at the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 weight index shrinks today and rises by 0.21%, but it is also blocked by the pressure of the ten-day moving average. It has not recovered for three consecutive days and has remained firmly above the opening price of the negative line last Thursday. The 120-minute level also surges up and falls, and the 60-minute level also surges up and falls down. It is easy to form a three-way bearish pattern for each cycle to continue to adjust tomorrow morning. Macd also crosses the green column and continues to amplify for the fourth day, so the probability of fluctuation and decline tomorrow is relatively high.
The fourth reason, we look at the semiconductor sector that rebounded today, with a shrinking volume of 1.36%. The semiconductor sector was obviously blocked by the 20-day moving average pressure and it has fallen below the middle track of the Bollinger channel. The M acd dead cross green column continued to amplify on the fourth day, and the rebound did not recover 1/2 of the large-scale negative line in the previous period. In particular, the lithography machine sector closed down today and fell below the 5-day moving average, so the probability of an inertia decline tomorrow is relatively high. The adjustment of semiconductors and lithography machines is natural.
The fifth reason is, we look at the weight sector. The securities sector has a relatively strong resonance effect between the securities sector and the market index. The securities sector has recently shrunk continuously for 5 consecutive days and has gone out of a sideways fluctuation below the 5-day moving average for 5 consecutive days. It has not risen for 5 consecutive days. Moreover, it was a sideways fluctuation below the large volume of the negative line last Wednesday. It is said that it will fall for a long time, so the probability of stepping down is relatively high. Among them, Oriental Fortune, CICC, etc. still have room for further adjustment, so the probability of the market adjusting tomorrow is relatively high.
Ninth: Personal sector view: Today's rebound in components, consumer electronics, communication equipment, and semiconductor sectors is just a rebound market. Today, I continue to be optimistic about general retail, telecommunications services, real estate, banks, film and television theaters, short dramas and games, etc. Since the market is fluctuating, I am not greedy for some sectors that have risen continuously. Alibaba is the one who has led the rise of Hong Kong stocks and Chinese stocks in the near future. Tonight, Alibaba has already opened low and adjusted low, so it will have an increase in the impact on both Hong Kong stocks and A-shares tomorrow.
Total of the above, the news tonight is full of three positive and two negative factors, which is good for automobiles and vehicles, but the whole automobiles and vehicles have not contributed much to the market index, and the external stock markets have risen and fallen. Tonight, the Chinese stock index has fallen and adjusted in advance, which has a pressure impact on tomorrow's A-shares and Hong Kong stocks. Today's A-shares have a slight decline of 2 trillion yuan and slightly rises by 4 points, which is obviously blocked by the pressure of the 10-day moving average. Today's shrinking volume rebound will easily lead to another step of correction and decline. Once tomorrow is in shape If it is a downward adjustment and fall below the 20-day moving average, it will be easy to fall further. Therefore, tomorrow's A-shares will look at the fluctuation adjustment, and pay attention to the gains and losses of the 20-day moving average and 3,800 points. Once it is lost, the market may continue to adjust in the future. In short, this week is a volatile market. Technically, it is better to build a double bottom pattern. At the same time, September is the volatile month, and it can only move forward in five waves again in October. Therefore, you must control the overall position and the overall market is light in the market and heavy sector tracks. The volatile market must not be greedy!
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