Trump seeking help was invalid, and former Brazilian President Bolsonaro was sentenced to 27 years and 3 months. Faced with the ruling, the White House made harsh words and did not rule out the possibility of military intervention. So, what specific response does the White House respond when Bolsonaro is convicted? What will be affected by the US-Pakistan relations?
On September 11 local time, the Brazilian Supreme Court sentenced former President Bolsonaro to 27 years and 3 months in prison for coup conspiracy. At this point, the Trump administration's previous series of "rescue" actions have been declared unsuccessful, and the first former leader in Brazil's history to be held accountable for undermining democracy has officially appeared.
In recent years, Bolsonaro's third son and Brazilian Congressman Eduardo Bolsonaro has been active in the American politics, trying to fight for acquittal for his father Bolsonaro with his relationship with US President Trump. However, it turns out that asking Trump for help is ineffective. It is reported that as early as before the delayed period of "reciprocal tariffs" ended, Trump called on the Brazilian judicial authorities to stop the "persecution" process of Bolsonaro and use it as a prerequisite for the US-Pakistan tariff negotiations.
However, the Lula government did not compromise the US because of the high 50% tariffs. To this day, the Brazilian government still rejects US interference in the internal judicial process and calls on the US to return to the right path of communication and negotiation as soon as possible. Of course, Trump, who has always been firmly standing on Bolsonaro's side, obviously will not give in easily. White House spokesman Levitt said that Trump does not rule out the possibility of using the US economy and military power to defend global freedom of speech.
In other words, the US may regard Bolsonaro as a symbol of oppression of freedom of speech and provide more support for it. US Secretary of State Rubio said that the Brazilian Supreme Court's ruling is not fair and the US will respond accordingly to this "political persecution". Judging from the harsh words made by the US side, although the Bolsonaro case has been sentenced, its impact on US-Pakistan relations will not end here.
In light of the recent Trump administration's move to send heavy troops to the waters near Venezuela in the name of cracking down on drug trafficking in Latin America, it is impossible to rule out the possibility that the US side will use force or put extreme pressure on Brazil in other ways. In response, Brazil responded that Rubio's remarks were a "threat" and he attacked the Brazilian government, ignoring facts and conclusive evidence. Brazil's foreign ministry also said, "Brazil's democracy will not be intimidated by the United States."
Some analysts believe that the possibility of the US using freedom of speech as a tool of diplomatic pressure is actually far greater than the possibility of its military intervention in Brazil's internal affairs and leading Bolsonaro. After all, Brazil's military strength cannot be underestimated, and military intervention in Brazil's internal affairs may cost extremely high costs. From this perspective, Trump's appearance to support Bolsonaro may also indirectly affect the results of the 2026 Brazilian election and take the opportunity to support Brazil's right-wing politicians to take office. After all, the Brazilian right-wing force to which Bolsonaro belongs has a highly consistent political philosophy with Trump.
It is worth mentioning that since Bolsonaro still has considerable influence in the Brazilian right-wing camp, even if he is banned from election, his political heir is still expected to compete for the next Brazilian president. In addition, the Lula government is deeply trapped in the quagmire of tariff war. Against this background, the US military threat is also shaking the ruling foundation of the Lula government and intensifying the dissatisfaction of the opposition forces in Brazil with the government.
In short, in the absence of legal basis and public opinion support, the probability of the Trump administration's military intervention in the Bolsonaro case is extremely low, but next, Brazil may face dual economic and diplomatic pressure from the United States, which will inevitably make the already highly tense regional situation worse.
