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A book called "2040 Future Forecast" has become popular, and it predicts that TV and newspapers will disappear completely in 15 years, flying cars will fly all over the sky, and humans may even enter the era of immortality.
How credible is these scenes that sound like science fiction movies?
Communication technology big explosion
Have you ever thought about how fast the Internet speed will be in 15 years? According to the rule of upgrading one G to each decade of communication technology, we are now using 5G, and we will enter the 6G era in 2030, and 7G will be in 2040. The communication speed of each generation of G is 100 times faster than the previous generation, which means that the Internet speed in 2040 will be 10,000 times higher than that of today!
It will take a few minutes to download a high-definition movie now, and by then it may be a blink of an eye. But what exactly can this ultra-high-speed network be used for? In the 6G era, we can see autonomous cars running all over the streets. A doctor can perform remote surgery on 100 patients at the same time. He is not afraid of language barriers because there is real-time simultaneous interpretation.
Data from the China Institute of Information and Communications shows that by 2040, the Internet of Things terminals will experience explosive growth of hundreds of billions, with the proportion of connections exceeding 90%. That is to say, everything in your house, from refrigerators, air conditioners, to toothbrushes, can be accessed online. Now we have an average of 2 connected devices per person, and by then there may be 1,000. It sounds a bit scary, right? But this is the era of the interconnection of everything.
This change has actually begun. Have you noticed that there are more and more smart speakers, smart door locks, and sweeping robots nowadays? This is just the beginning. In the future, your clothes may monitor your heart rate and body temperature, your shoes will record how many steps you have taken, and even your cup can remind you to drink water.
Of course, some people are worried about privacy issues. After all, even toothbrushes can be accessed online, so what privacy can you say? But just like when the iPhone first launched Face ID, everyone felt that it was unsafe, and aren't you used to it now? The pace of technological development will not stop because of our worries. The key is to establish corresponding laws and regulations to protect personal privacy.
The flying car is really coming
When it comes to flying cars, do you think this is still an out of reach dream? But Morgan Stanley predicts that the market size of flying cars will reach $1.5 trillion in 2040, more than double the current $700 billion in the entire automobile market. what does that mean? The sky is full of flying cars!
According to the planning of the "Flying Vehicle Development White Paper 1.0", the development of flying cars is divided into three stages: by around 2035, smart eVTOL flying cars will be applied on a large scale and become the main tool for low-altitude transportation; by 2050, land-air amphibious flying cars will be popularized.
In fact, flying cars are not a new concept. As early as 1949, someone built a flying car. But what really makes this concept a reality is the breakthrough in battery technology and autonomous driving technology. Nowadays, electric vehicles have become stronger and stronger in endurance, and autonomous driving technology is becoming more and more mature, which has laid the foundation for the development of flying cars.
At present, dozens of companies around the world are developing flying cars, including aviation giants like Boeing and Airbus, as well as new energy vehicle companies like Xiaopeng Motors. China's Ehang Intelligent has conducted manned flight tests in Guangzhou, and their unmanned manned aircraft has obtained an airworthiness certificate issued by the Civil Aviation Administration of China.
This does sound cool, but there are still many problems to solve in reality. For example, what should I do if air traffic management? If there were flying cars everywhere in the sky, would they bump into each other? How to formulate safety standards? Can battery technology support long-distance flight? How to solve the noise problem? None of these questions have been perfectly answered yet.
But one thing is certain, drone delivery has begun to become popular. In the future, order a takeaway, and a drone will be delivered to your doorstep in half an hour. This scene is actually not far away. Amazon, SF Express and other companies are testing drone delivery services. Although they are still subject to regulations, they are basically mature in technology.
The popularity of flying cars will also bring about revolutionary changes in urban planning. There may not be so many parking lots in the future, because cars can be parked directly on the rooftop. Traffic congestion problems can also be alleviated because there are new traffic channels in the air.
The end of traditional media?
Does your TV still turn on often now? To be honest, many people's TVs have become decorations, and they occasionally turn on the computer to watch online videos. The book predicts that TV and newspapers will be completely destroyed by 2040 and will eventually be replaced by VR glasses.
From the trend, this prediction makes sense. The content produced by online media is getting better and better, and has begun to surpass traditional TV stations. Look at the current B station, Douyin, and YouTube, the production level is no worse than that of TV stations, and it is closer to the preferences of young people. In order not to be completely defeated, the TV station is now trying hard to catch two life-saving straws: news reports and live broadcast of sports events. But the problem is that online media is not to be outdone in these two areas.
During the epidemic, many people's media consumption habits have fundamentally changed. People who watched TV news began to browse news on their mobile phones, while people who watched TV shows began to watch TV shows on their tablets. Once this change is formed, it is difficult to reverse.
The development of VR technology is indeed amazing. VR glasses now offer a very realistic immersive experience, and the price is also falling. Meta's Quest series and ByteDance's Pico series are both rapidly iterating and upgrading. With the popularity of 5G and future 6G networks, the transmission of VR content will no longer be a problem.
However, it may take longer for the complete disappearance of TV and newspapers. After all, TV still has a unique position in family entertainment, and watching TV in the living room is still a daily life for many families. Newspapers also have advantages in in-depth reporting and authority, especially for middle-aged and elderly readers.
But the popularity of VR glasses is indeed the general trend. Technology giants such as Apple, Google, and Microsoft are investing heavily in VR/AR technology, and it is expected that the number of users of VR devices will exceed 1 billion by 2030. Imagine everyone wearing VR glasses to watch movies, have meetings, and shop. This picture is quite sci-fi.
Can humans really defeat death?
The most exciting thing may be a breakthrough in the medical field. This book boldly predicts that cancer may be completely conquered around 2040, and humans may even enter the era of immortality.
AI technology has indeed shown great potential in the medical field. Now the most advanced hospitals are using AI to diagnose brain tumors, with an accuracy rate of 10% higher than that of ordinary doctors. In the future, you may only need a drop of blood to detect whether there are cancer cells in your body. You can know what cancer you will get through DNA analysis, and then use mRNA technology to customize exclusive vaccines for you. If you get this vaccine, you won’t get this cancer.
Organ regeneration technology is also full of expectations. There is no need for organ transplants in the future. You can directly cultivate your own organ for you, without any repulsion. Paralyzed people may get back on their feet, and those who lose their organs can regain their health.
The development strategy issued by the Chinese Academy of Engineering also mentioned that by 2040, tissues and organs will be repaired and regenerated, and the elderly society will have healthy vitality. Drugs for treating Alzheimer's disease are also under development, and people may be able to keep a clear mind until they live to the age of 100.
However, it is still too optimistic to say that humans can completely defeat death. Cancer is a complex medical problem, involving many scientific fields. Although technologies such as AI have brought new hope, more breakthroughs are needed to fully overcome them.
Recall that the iPhone has been released for more than ten years and has completely changed our lifestyle. Changes over the next 15 years may be more drastic and rapid. While these predictions sound like science fiction, who knows?
Maybe when you look back at this article in 2040, you will smile and say, "How did you think these things were impossible to achieve back then?" In any case, this imaginative future is still worth looking forward to. What do you think?
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Information source:
People's Daily-Flying cars are "flying" towards us
Today's Headlines-2040 Future forecast: TV and newspapers are destroyed, human beings enter the era of immortality, flying cars are flying all over the sky!
