A shares did not continue to rise in the afternoon, but were a high-level fluctuation pattern. Market sentiment was not effectively stimulated. Although individual stocks experienced large-scale rises, the overall profit-making effect was not high, and retail investors did not experience excessive joy. Will today's rebound be a flash in the pan? Will you change your face again tomorrow?
First, the rise of A-shares has a deep dependence on the securities sector, which restricts A-shares from rising space again.
Everyone knows that this wave of A-share market was brought by the securities sector, which shows that the main A-share market has handed over the A-share stage to the second-tier main players such as securities companies, funds, institutions, etc., and retreated to the second-tier and took charge of the command and control, and handed over its heavy-weight stocks, large fund holding sectors, communication equipment, etc. to these second-tier main players for speculation, causing the A-share market to rise by 341 points from 3547 points on August 4, and the market on the 26th to 3888 points, an increase of 9.6%.
This stage is entirely driven by the securities sector and the speculation of new technology stocks to achieve the surge in the market index. The securities sector then entered a pullback, and the market showed a phased double-top trend. After the pullback of over 150 points from September 2-4, the decline reached 3.93%. From last Friday to today, it has rebounded for 5 trading days. During the three trading days, the securities sector was not strong, so it did not rise very well.
Today is a big rise in the securities sector after 5 trading days of sideways, up 3.05%. If this donkey doesn't roar, it's already awesome, and it seems a bit impatient. This point was explained very clearly to everyone yesterday's article. Let's extend it, and it is likely to rise tomorrow.
Secondly, pay close attention to the surge in the group sector, which means they are anxious.
The popular A-share sectors are all in a surge, but the trading volume does not keep up simultaneously, so the amplification is not enough. For example, the communication equipment sector, the main force, rose 8.29% today. Judging from the 60-minute trend, it is basically in one step. The holdings of large funds rose 4.09% today. The Science and Technology Innovation Board Index soared by 5.26%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 5.37%. If you only look at the increase, it will be quite good, but the coordination between volume and price is not very ideal.
Benben mentioned this matter at noon. It means that the bear market has a sharp rise. Otherwise, it will hit the top quickly, because the retail investors' participation in these varieties speculated by the main force is extremely low. Regardless of whether they make a profit or not, they will digest it within the main force. It depends on who takes the last shot. This has little to do with retail investors, but these high-priced stocks have a great impact on the index. Their decline will have a relatively large impact on the medium and low-priced stocks.
Because most retail investors are trapped after entering September, the trading volume of A-shares has shrunk in recent days, and almost fell below 2 trillion yesterday. The scene is no longer lively. Retail investors are flat and retail investors are not active, so this market cannot be hot. What should I do? All the people can only go bare-handed again, pull up some big index stocks, make the index look good, so that retail investors can move and come in off the market.
Third, the large net inflow of main funds is worthy of high vigilance.
The current trend of A-shares is not based on common sense, and grouping has become the mainstream. Because there are no other new methods, it is not uncommon to group A-shares. From 2021 to 2022, it is basically the best to be interpreted. Everyone can see the ending of the last time clearly. Will the last ending be repeated this time? Benben thinks that as long as the A-shares' own trading system does not undergo major changes, they will all be grouping, and the ending will not change at all.
Today, the main A-share funds inflowed 25 billion yuan, which is also the second largest trading day for net inflows in recent times. This shows that today is the main players striving to join forces to boost large-cap stocks. After all, only the main players can afford these stocks, but retail investors cannot play them.
Why Benben reminds everyone to pay close attention? Because last Friday also had a net inflow of 44 billion yuan, and a net outflow of 45.1 billion yuan this Monday. From this, it can be seen that the main force is still making indexes. As the closing of the market this afternoon, individual stocks only saw a large-scale rise. This market generally rose in the end, and it happened many times in the early stage, and most of them were knocked back to their original shape the next day.
This trend of playing big tickets and sacrificing small tickets is unfair and painful for retail investors. Retail investors are simple people. As long as there is a little rise, they will be content and will exert verbal violence on bearish people. This is the standard of being cheated, and even counting money for those who deceive them.
Fourth, tomorrow A-shares are likely to be a trend of rising and falling, and there is little chance of a sharp decline.
Benben told you in the afternoon that the market will attack the 3860-3880 point range in the afternoon, and finally the market closed at 3875 points. This position is very close to the previous high of 3888 points. Benben predicted that the rebound to the 3850-3860 point range will end, but Benben underestimated the ambition of these main players.
Because they pull back, they will surpass the previous highs, so that they will be more deceptive, more inspiring, and better induce more. Therefore, Benben predicts that these main players will open lower in the morning session tomorrow, giving those who want to enter the market a chance, and then fluctuate, fall sharply, and continue to reverse and pick up people. In the afternoon, the market will fall backwards.
From this, it can be predicted that tomorrow the main force will take 3888 points to make a fuss and continuously launch attacks on the point, attack once, callback once, swing the car back and forth, pick up more people, the more the better, and then catch them all next Monday.
Today, the two markets increased significantly to 2.46 trillion yuan, an increase of 0.46 trillion yuan from yesterday. The single 100-yuan stock sector increased by more than 100 billion yuan compared with yesterday. It can be seen that the main force is still facing each other, creating trading volume.
Therefore, everyone should be prepared. Even if the A-share market hits a new high tomorrow, it is not surprising. Pay attention to trading volume and the trend of the securities sector. The securities sector is 1846 points away from its strong resistance and 18 points. This indicates that the market will still have a rush tomorrow. The main force will fight to the death and will close the market index above 3888 points, or near. This wave of rebound will basically end. Perhaps tomorrow is a time node for escape.
Statement: The stock market is risky, so be cautious when entering the market. The following article is original by me, first published on the headlines, and plagiarism will be prosecuted! The following content is personal opinion and is for reference only and is not used as an investment basis!
